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Murad Banaji, senior lecturer, mathematics, Middlesex University, paints an equally grim picture and says the true death figures could be anywhere from around two times to an extraordinary eight times the official figures. If that isn t bad enough, he points out that the number of cases itself is being grossly under-reported and that adds to the difficulty of accurate forecasting. He believes over a million people could already have died. As a counterweight, a study by Bengaluru s Indian Institute of Sciences projected Covid-19 could kill around 404,000 people by June 11.

1.52 PM May 13th
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